going slower on biofuels

Good news in South Africa this week is that national cabinet on Wednesday decided to prohibit maize from being used as a feedstock for biofuels. The country will focus on soya beans, sunflower seeds, canola and sugarcane. The hope is that this will help reduce inflationary pressures on the country's staple food source. Cabinet also downgraded the production target for biofuel to make up 2% of liquid fuels by 2013. The draft biofuels strategy had proposed 4.5%.

We need to address the liquid fuels issue, but there are too many risks related to biofuels to rush it as a strategy. If there was a clear and enforceable exit strategy, then biofuels might be a reasonable short-term strategy while we reduce demand for liquid fuels over a longer period, but I would think if we did manage to make biofuels a successful alternative to fossil fuels, we would just hang on to are car-centred way of life even longer, with continually growing carbon emissions and other impacts.

I don't have the inside track on how this cabinet decision was made, but I wouldn't be surprised if it was a fairly arbitrary outcome of behind-the-scenes political negotiations, and we are just lucky that the decision-makers took heed of the plea to consider food security. So many studies are prepared as motivation for well-considered decisions, only to have recommendations altered and decisions made without any reference to sound planning. It's scary.

Even scarier is that the Bali negotiations are just as political. I know several people from Cape Town who are there, providing the technical backup, but I wonder how much influence they have on the final outcome. Considering the stakes, I can't believe we're leaving it to the politicians.

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Update on 8 December 2007:

One of the growing challenges for biofuels (and for many sustainability issues, for that matter) is how to regulate, monitor and authenticate claims. Not all biofuels are created equal. Primafuel is one company that has come up with a way to assess which biofuels are genuinely beneficial, and which are not. How the feedstock is grown, what energy sources are used to process it, and other questions need to be answered so that producers can be held accountable.